SMCI • Information technology • Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Supermicro

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Valuations

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Methodology

Supermicro's AI server systems create exceptional near-term earnings growth from data center GPU infrastructure buildouts, though competitive dynamics and customer concentration add uncertainty. The calculation becomes more challenging given rapid growth rates and questions about sustainable margins as competition intensifies in AI server assembly.

Methodology

Supermicro's PEG ratio can appear very low during AI infrastructure booms reflecting explosive growth, but faces risks from Dell/HPE competition and Nvidia's potential vertical integration. The metric should account for competitive threats and margin sustainability. Evaluate based on realistic long-term market share assumptions rather than extrapolating current growth.

Methodology

Supermicro pays no dividend, making PEGY equal to PEG as management prioritizes capacity investments and working capital for rapid growth. Capital allocation focuses on scaling production for AI infrastructure demand. For Supermicro, maintaining customer relationships and competitive positioning matter far more than current shareholder income.

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