CAG • Consumer staples • Packaged Foods & Meats

Conagra Brands

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Valuations

Peter Lynch Fair Value
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Price/Earnings to Growth & Dividend Yield
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Methodology

Conagra Brands' packaged foods portfolio faces secular headwinds from health trends and private label competition, making organic growth challenging. The company's frozen foods focus and brands like Healthy Choice provide some stability, but pricing power is limited. This calculation works moderately during stable periods, though the mature packaged foods industry's structural challenges make sustained growth difficult—normalized assumptions should reflect low-growth realities.

Methodology

Conagra often shows elevated PEG ratios given very modest or negative organic growth in packaged foods. The company's value lies more in cash generation and cost reduction than growth, making PEG less relevant. For mature packaged food companies facing secular headwinds, valuation based on free cash flow yield and ability to maintain market share matters more than growth-based multiples.

Methodology

Conagra's meaningful dividend yield is central to the investment thesis for a mature packaged foods company with limited growth prospects. The company's strong cash generation despite top-line challenges supports the dividend, though commodity inflation can pressure margins. PEGY is essential for properly valuing Conagra, where yield provides most of the return given the low-growth nature of mature food brands facing changing consumer preferences.

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